Am I using that right? “Predix”? That’s how industry insiders talk. Well, it’s how people talk when they wish to create the impression that they know as much as industry insiders.
I don’t normally get into the Golden Globe prediction game. Every set of awards has its own secret set of criteria, as you can see from the baseball Hall of Fame results. It’s not about knowing what the best thing is; it’s about knowing how the electorate of this particular award tends to lean. And I’ve always found it to be more fun to look at the Oscars and the Emmys. I’ve gotten pretty good on the Oscars, as you will learn in a month or two. The Golden Globes have always been more of a leading indicator toward the thing I prefer to predict.
But you can’t get better if you don’t practice, so I’m going to get into some Golden Globe predictions. Or “predix,” if that will make me sound cool. My suspicion is that it will not.
Best Motion Picture, Drama: 12 Years a Slave
This seems like an easy choice. It’s the kind of movie that wins this kind of award.
Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama: Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Because I think people are kind of wishing they could vote for Gravity to be Best Picture, but it’s not as important and powerful as 12 Years a Slave. And if you liked Gravity, it’s because Sandra Bullock did an incredible job.
Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama: Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Same argument as Sandra Bullock, kind of. There’s a lot of Tom Hanks going on in Captain Phillips, so rewarding him is like rewarding the movie.
Best Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy: American Hustle
Based solely on my impression of which movie has gotten the most talk. There was a brief burst of The Wolf of Wall Street chatter, and there have been a few posts about Siri mentioning Her, but neither have gotten any traction the way American Hustle has. I still don’t think it’s an entirely satisfactory movie, but it’s interesting enough to hold people’s attention well after they finish watching it.
Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy: Amy Adams, American Hustle
On the grounds that she was the most impressive part of the movie. Eventually, I will stop being surprised at what a good actress Amy Adams is.
Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy: Joaquin Phoenix, Her
A blind guess.
Best Animated Feature Film: Frozen
Best Foreign Language Film: Blue Is the Warmest Color
Always pick the one foreign film people have talked about. Although The Hunt has Mads Mikkelsen, so I wouldn’t be surprised if it were pretty good.
Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture: Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
Julia Roberts can have a Golden Globe award if she wants. Jennifer Lawrence was possibly a little divisive in American Hustle, by which I mean that not everyone enjoyed her antics. I did, but not everyone.
Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture: Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Another blind guess. I think everyone would be happy for him, right?
Best Director, Motion Picture: Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Because it was the Best Picture. Alfonso Cuaron can win “Most” Director.
Best Screenplay, Motion Picture: Spike Jonze, Her
Best Original Score, Motion Picture: Hans Zimmer, 12 Years a Slave
Beats me. I’m just going to guess Hans Zimmer.
Best Original Song, Motion Picture: “Let It Go,” Frozen
Frozen is currently on the top of the Billboard albums chart.
Best TV Series, Drama: The Good Wife
Listen, if I were voting, it would be Breaking Bad. But the Golden Globes have a history of rewarding shows I don’t watch, and The Good Wife seems like this year’s Homeland.
Best Actress in a TV Series, Drama: Juliana Margulies, The Good Wife
See, because Homeland won Best Drama the last two years, and Claire Danes won the Best Actress in a Drama award. So, logically…
Best Actor in a TV Series, Drama: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
This is pure optimism on my part, but maybe they’ll reward him for his performance toward the end of the series.
Best TV Series, Musical or Comedy: Girls
Strictly because it won last year.
Best Actress in a TV Series, Musical or Comedy: Lena Dunham, Girls
She also won last year. I like this lineup, by the way: Lena Dunham, Zooey Deschanel, Edie Falco, Julia Louis-Dreyfus, and Amy Poehler. I’d watch a show starring those five people!
Best Actor in a TV Series, Musical or Comedy: Don Cheadle, House of Lies
My theory is that the Hollywood Foreign Press Association wants to reward the Most Serious Comedy, and that means shows on HBO or Showtime. Also, Don Cheadle won last year.
Best TV Movie or Miniseries: Behind the Candelabra
Because it was. Also, American Horror Story: Coven is not a miniseries and nobody thinks it is.
Best Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie: Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven
Okay, I realize I just said that American Horror Story doesn’t count, but Jessica Lange is having a lot more fun than any of the other candidates. Behind the Candelabra didn’t have a lot of women in it, and even though Helen Mirren is very important, that Phil Spector thing doesn’t deserve awards.
Best Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie: Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra
He was good! And this is another really packed category: Michael Douglas, Matt Damon, Chiwetel Ejiofer, Idris Elba, and Al Pacino. Let’s make a heist movie with this guys!
Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries, or TV Movie: Hayden Panettiere, Nashville
Oh, I don’t know. Everyone likes her, right?
Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries, or TV Movie: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
These categories are a weird mush of different things, but Aaron Paul was really good at what he did. Even though I have trouble comparing it to Rob Lowe in Behind the Candelabra.